Liga MX · Dec 01, 2025 01:00
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
DLWWD
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS47%
Under 2.559%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Cruz Azulvs
1.15
Guadalajara Ch…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul-1
Gap#1
Guadalajara…
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 100% 12 pts
Cruz Azul
12.0%
| Nov 28 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Cruz Az… v U.N.A.M… | 2-3 |
| Nov 01 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 0-3 |
| Oct 26 | Cruz Az… v Monterr… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Cruz Az… v Necaxa | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Cruz Az… v Club Am… | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | Cruz Az… v Club Ti… | 2-0 |
| Sep 25 | Cruz Az… v Queréta… | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 3-2 |
Guadalajara Ch…
14.0%
| Nov 28 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Guadala… v Monterr… | 4-2 |
| Nov 03 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Guadala… v Atlas | 4-1 |
| Oct 23 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 2-0 |
| Oct 06 | Guadala… v U.N.A.M… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Guadala… v Puebla | 0-2 |
| Sep 24 | Guadala… v Necaxa | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Guadala… v Toluca | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Guadalajara C… | 0-0 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Guadalajara C… | 1-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Guadalajara C… | 0-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Guadalajara C… |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Cruz Azul | 3-0 | Guadalajara C… |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 1-0 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 2-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 0-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
Key Factors
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.