Liga Nacional · Dec 03, 2025 21:00
GĂ©nesis
PWR 37
PWR 37
2 - 2
FT
Juticalpa
PWR 31
PWR 31
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack38
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
GĂ©nesis Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Juticalpa Form
LLWDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS43%
Under 2.562%
GĂ©nesis Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Juticalpa Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
GĂ©nesisvs
0.85
JuticalpaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
GĂ©nesis+2
Gap#10
Juticalpa
WR 21% 52 pts
WR 25% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GĂ©nesis | 52 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 58 | 78 | 52 |
| Juticalpa | 48 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 52 | 96 | 48 |
GĂ©nesis
10.0%
| Nov 27 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | GĂ©nesis v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 6-2 |
| Nov 02 | Génesis v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | GĂ©nesis v Olancho | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Génesis v CD Mara… | 0-3 |
| Oct 05 | Génesis v CD Mota… | 4-3 |
| Sep 27 | Génesis v Lobos U… | 2-3 |
| Sep 25 | Génesis v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Génesis v Platens… | 1-1 |
Juticalpa
6.0%
| Nov 26 | Jutical… v Victoria | 3-4 |
| Nov 22 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Jutical… v Real Es… | 4-3 |
| Oct 25 | Jutical… v Atlétic… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 0-2 |
| Oct 16 | Jutical… v Olancho | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Jutical… v CD Mara… | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Jutical… v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Jutical… v Génesis | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 25, 2025 | Juticalpa | 1-1 | GĂ©nesis |
| Apr 26, 2025 | GĂ©nesis | 1-0 | Juticalpa |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juticalpa | 0-1 | GĂ©nesis |
| Dec 01, 2024 | GĂ©nesis | 3-0 | Juticalpa |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0-0 | GĂ©nesis |
Key Factors
Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.