Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Nov 23, 2025 00:17
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Club Nacional
PWR 62
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
2-1
predicted
Club Nacional
PWR 62
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (35%)
1-0 (23%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Peñarol Montev… Form
LWLWL
STABLE
Club Nacional Form
DDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS15%
Under 2.591%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.39
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+1
Gap#2
Club Nacion…
WR 60% 122 pts
WR 54% 71 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
Peñarol Montev…
8.0%
| Nov 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-2 |
| Nov 07 | Peñarol… v Cerro L… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | Peñarol… v Juventud | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Oct 20 | Peñarol… v Plaza C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Peñarol… v Rangers… | 3-0 |
| Oct 16 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 0-2 |
Club Nacional
12.0%
| Nov 09 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Club Na… v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Club Na… v Miramar | 3-1 |
| Oct 12 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Club Na… v Juventud | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | Club Na… v Plaza C… | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Club Na… v Racing … | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Nacional | 3-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-0 | Club Nacional |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Club Nacional |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.