AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 10, 2023

Birmingham

Home
VS
20:00

West Brom

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Birmingham Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
West Brom Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.05 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (20%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Birmingham Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Birmingham vs Swansea 3-4
Feb 04 Birmingham vs Crawley T… 1-0
Jan 28 Birmingham vs Swindon 3-3
Jan 21 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-2
Dec 27 Birmingham vs Burnley 3-0
Dec 26 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-1
Nov 22 Birmingham vs Crawley T… 0-0
Nov 19 Birmingham vs Newport C… 2-0
Nov 08 Birmingham vs Swansea 2-2
Nov 05 Birmingham vs Stoke City 1-2
West Brom Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 West Brom vs Coventry 1-0
Jan 28 West Brom vs Bristol C… 3-0
Jan 14 West Brom vs Wolves 1-0
Dec 26 West Brom vs Bristol C… 0-2
Dec 21 West Brom vs Coventry 1-0
Dec 17 West Brom vs Fulham 1-1
Dec 12 West Brom vs Sunderland 1-2
Nov 05 West Brom vs QPR 0-1
Oct 30 West Brom vs Mancheste… 1-0
Oct 29 West Brom vs Sheffield… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • West Brom struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2022 West Brom 2 - 3 Birmingham Championship
Apr 03, 2022 Birmingham 1 - 0 West Brom Championship
Oct 15, 2021 West Brom 1 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Jul 31, 2021 Birmingham 0 - 4 West Brom Friendlies Clu…
Jun 20, 2020 West Brom 0 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Birmingham to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham Power 36
West Brom Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Birmingham Position

+9

Position Gap

22

West Brom Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 19%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.