David Kipiani Cup · Jul 28, 2024 16:00

Saburtalo
PWR 67

Dinamo Tbilisi
PWR 50

Saburtalo
PWR 67
1 - 2
FT

Dinamo Tbilisi
PWR 50
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Saburtalo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (19%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 75%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy68%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 74.6% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack76
Defense59
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Saburtalo Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Dinamo Tbilisi Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS31%
Under 2.577%
Saburtalo Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Dinamo Tbil… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Saburtalovs
1.01
Dinamo TbilisiDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Saburtalo+10
Gap#11
Dinamo Tbil…
WR 67% 12 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Saburtalo
4.0%
| Jul 03 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 3-2 |
| Jun 28 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 0-2 |
| May 28 | Saburta… v Gagra | 4-0 |
| May 23 | Saburta… v Kolkhet… | 0-2 |
| May 19 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 2-3 |
| May 10 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| Apr 11 | Saburta… v Gagra | 3-1 |
| Apr 06 | Saburta… v Kolkhet… | 1-2 |
| Apr 02 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| Mar 15 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
Dinamo Tbilisi
16.0%
| Jun 28 | Dinamo … v Saburta… | 0-2 |
| Jun 01 | Dinamo … v Gagra | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Dinamo … v Dila | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Dinamo … v Saburta… | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Dinamo … v Gagra | 0-2 |
| Apr 03 | Dinamo … v Dila | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Dinamo … v Saburta… | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Dinamo … v Saburta… | 0-3 |
| Oct 21 | Dinamo … v Gagra | 0-1 |
| Oct 03 | Dinamo … v Dila | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jun 28, 2024 | Saburtalo | 0-2 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| May 10, 2024 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1-0 | Saburtalo |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Saburtalo | 1-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Saburtalo | 0-3 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
Key Factors
Dinamo Tbilisi in strong form (4W in last 5)
Saburtalo struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.