Predictions Match Details
Erovnuli Liga · Mar 15, 2024 15:30

Saburtalo
PWR 66
1 - 0
FT

Dinamo Tbilisi
PWR 53
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Saburtalo to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (15%) 0-3 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-2 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack62
Defense71
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G0.8
Attack49
Defense68
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Saburtalo Form WLLWW
STABLE
Dinamo Tbilisi Form WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS37%
Under 2.547%
Saburtalo Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Dinamo Tbil… Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Saburtalo
vs
2.45
Dinamo Tbilisi
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Saburtalo
+3
Gap
#4
Dinamo Tbil…
WR 66% 121 pts WR 41% 82 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Saburtalo56371099946121
Dinamo Tbilisi54221616755082
Saburtalo 12.0%
Dec 06 Saburta… v Dinamo … 1-0
Dec 02 Saburta… v Dinamo … 0-3
Nov 11 Saburta… v Gagra 2-1
Sep 02 Saburta… v Gagra 5-0
May 20 Saburta… v Gagra 1-2
Dinamo Tbilisi 16.0%
Dec 02 Dinamo … v Saburta… 0-3
Oct 21 Dinamo … v Gagra 0-1
Oct 03 Dinamo … v Dila 3-1
Aug 29 Dinamo … v Dila 0-3
Aug 13 Dinamo … v Gagra 1-6
Jun 30 Dinamo … v Dila 1-1
May 06 Dinamo … v Gagra 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Dec 02, 2023 Saburtalo 0-3 Dinamo Tbilisi
Key Factors
Saburtalo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.