Liga MX · Sep 22, 2024 03:05

Cruz Azul
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (35%) 0-1 (26%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form WDLDL
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… Form WWWLD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS14%
Under 2.591%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Cruz Azul
vs
0.74
Guadalajara Ch…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul
-1
Gap
#1
Guadalajara…
WR 100% 9 pts WR 100% 12 pts
Cruz Azul 8.0%
Sep 15 Cruz Az… v León FC 1-2
Jul 21 Cruz Az… v Toluca 1-1
May 27 Cruz Az… v Club Am… 1-0
May 24 Cruz Az… v Club Am… 1-1
May 20 Cruz Az… v Monterr… 1-2
May 17 Cruz Az… v Monterr… 0-1
May 13 Cruz Az… v U.N.A.M… 2-2
May 10 Cruz Az… v U.N.A.M… 0-2
Apr 28 Cruz Az… v Toluca 0-1
Apr 22 Cruz Az… v Atlas 2-2
Guadalajara Ch… 14.0%
Aug 31 Guadala… v FC Juar… 5-0
Jul 20 Guadala… v Mazatlá… 2-0
Jul 17 Guadala… v Queréta… 0-2
May 19 Guadala… v Club Am… 1-0
May 16 Guadala… v Club Am… 0-0
May 12 Guadala… v Toluca 0-0
May 09 Guadala… v Toluca 1-0
Apr 28 Guadala… v Atlas 0-1
Apr 21 Guadala… v Queréta… 2-0
Apr 13 Guadala… v Pachuca 0-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Mar 03, 2024 Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara C…
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara C… 1-0 Cruz Azul
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara C… 2-1 Cruz Azul
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara C… 0-2 Cruz Azul
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2-1 Guadalajara C…
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0-1 Guadalajara C…
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara C… 1-1 Cruz Azul
Key Factors
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.