Liga MX · Mar 03, 2024 01:05
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS37%
Under 2.570%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cruz Azulvs
0.82
Guadalajara Ch…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul-1
Gap#1
Guadalajara…
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 100% 12 pts
Cruz Azul
10.0%
| Feb 22 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 0-0 |
| Nov 13 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 2-1 |
| Jul 08 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 0-2 |
| Jul 02 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 2-0 |
Guadalajara Ch…
18.0%
| Feb 17 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 0-2 |
| Nov 05 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 1-2 |
| Oct 08 | Guadala… v Atlas | 4-1 |
| Sep 27 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 1-3 |
| Sep 24 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-0 |
| Aug 19 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 1-1 |
| Jul 09 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 05, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 1-0 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 2-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 0-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Guadalajara C… | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
Key Factors
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.