Liga MX · Nov 05, 2023 03:05
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (16%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guadalajara Ch… Form
WWLDD
STABLE
Cruz Azul Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS26%
Under 2.541%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
Guadalajara Ch…vs
0.32
Cruz AzulDecision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings67%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Guadalajara…+1
Gap#2
Cruz Azul
WR 100% 12 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Guadalajara Ch…
12.0%
| Nov 01 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 1-2 |
| Oct 08 | Guadala… v Atlas | 4-1 |
| Sep 27 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 1-3 |
| Sep 24 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-0 |
| Aug 19 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 1-1 |
| Jul 09 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 3-1 |
| Apr 30 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 4-1 |
| Apr 23 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 1-1 |
Cruz Azul
8.0%
| Nov 02 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 2-1 |
| Jul 08 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 0-2 |
| Jul 02 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 3-1 |
| May 06 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 0-1 |
| Apr 23 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 2-1 |
| Apr 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 23, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 2-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 0-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Guadalajara C… | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
Key Factors
Cruz Azul struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.