Liga MX · Apr 23, 2023 01:05
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (32%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (17%)
1-1 (10%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guadalajara Ch… Form
DDWDL
STABLE
Cruz Azul Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS19%
Under 2.589%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Guadalajara Ch…vs
0.61
Cruz AzulDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Guadalajara…+1
Gap#2
Cruz Azul
WR 100% 12 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Guadalajara Ch…
10.0%
| Feb 12 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 1-2 |
| Jan 14 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Dec 31 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 0-2 |
| Dec 17 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 2-1 |
| Aug 06 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Jul 31 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-0 |
| Jul 28 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 2-2 |
Cruz Azul
14.0%
| Apr 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-3 |
| Feb 12 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 0-1 |
| Dec 31 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 0-2 |
| Dec 23 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 1-1 |
| Oct 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 31, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 0-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Guadalajara C… | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
Key Factors
Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.