Liga MX · Oct 02, 2022 02:05

Cruz Azul
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form WDLDL
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… Form LDDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS71%
Under 2.530%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Cruz Azul
vs
1.61
Guadalajara Ch…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul
-1
Gap
#1
Guadalajara…
WR 100% 9 pts WR 100% 12 pts
Cruz Azul 8.0%
Sep 16 Cruz Az… v León FC 2-1
Sep 03 Cruz Az… v FC Juar… 2-2
Aug 14 Cruz Az… v Toluca 2-3
Jul 24 Cruz Az… v Puebla 2-2
Jul 16 Cruz Az… v Atlas 3-2
Jul 03 Cruz Az… v Tigres … 2-3
Jun 27 Cruz Az… v Atlas 2-2
Apr 17 Cruz Az… v Guadala… 0-1
Apr 03 Cruz Az… v Atlas 1-0
Mar 06 Cruz Az… v Puebla 1-3
Guadalajara Ch… 6.0%
Aug 06 Guadala… v Mazatlá… 2-1
Jul 31 Guadala… v Pachuca 0-0
Jul 28 Guadala… v Queréta… 2-2
Jul 10 Guadala… v Atletic… 0-1
Jul 02 Guadala… v FC Juar… 0-0
Apr 17 Guadala… v Cruz Az… 0-1
Mar 03 Guadala… v Atletic… 2-2
Feb 10 Guadala… v FC Juar… 1-3
Jan 22 Guadala… v Queréta… 1-1
Jan 16 Guadala… v Pachuca 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0-1 Guadalajara C…
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara C… 1-1 Cruz Azul
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.