Liga MX · Oct 02, 2022 02:05

Cruz Azul
PWR 35

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35

Cruz Azul
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
WDLDL
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… Form
LDDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS71%
Under 2.530%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Cruz Azulvs
1.61
Guadalajara Ch…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul-1
Gap#1
Guadalajara…
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 100% 12 pts
Cruz Azul
8.0%
| Sep 16 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 03 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-2 |
| Aug 14 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 2-3 |
| Jul 24 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 2-2 |
| Jul 16 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 3-2 |
| Jul 03 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 2-3 |
| Jun 27 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 2-2 |
| Apr 17 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 0-1 |
| Apr 03 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-3 |
Guadalajara Ch…
6.0%
| Aug 06 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Jul 31 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-0 |
| Jul 28 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 2-2 |
| Jul 10 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Jul 02 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 0-0 |
| Apr 17 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Guadalajara C… | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.