AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Jan 14, 2024

Bidco United

Home
VS
12:00

Police

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bidco United Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Police Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.82 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bidco United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Bidco United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Sofapaka 3-0
Dec 21 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Shabana 1-0
Dec 17 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Kariobangā€¦ 0-0
Dec 13 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Tusker 2-3
Dec 10 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs AFC Leopaā€¦ 2-1
Dec 03 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Homeboyz 1-0
Oct 28 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Oct 22 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Murang'a ā€¦ 0-0
Sep 30 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Police 2-0
Jun 25 Bidco Uniā€¦ vs Homeboyz 1-1
Police Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 06 Police vs Homeboyz 3-0
Dec 20 Police vs Tusker 1-0
Dec 17 Police vs Slavia Prā€¦ 2-1
Dec 16 Police vs KCB 1-2
Dec 03 Police vs Murang'a ā€¦ 2-0
Nov 01 Police vs Bandari 3-2
Oct 22 Police vs BanĆ­k Ostā€¦ 0-1
Oct 07 Police vs SlovƔcko 2-0
Oct 01 Police vs Slavia Prā€¦ 0-0
Sep 30 Police vs Bidco Uniā€¦ 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Police struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2023 Police 2 - 0 Bidco United FKF Premier Leā€¦
May 03, 2023 Police 2 - 0 Bidco United FKF Premier Leā€¦
Feb 05, 2023 Bidco United 0 - 1 Police FKF Premier Leā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bidco United Power 0
Police Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Bidco United Position

-12

Position Gap

5

Police Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.