Primera A · Dec 04, 2025 23:30

Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Nacional Win
Prediction
6-0
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITEFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlético Nacio… Form LDDWD
STABLE
Independiente … Form DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS65%
Under 2.538%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Independien… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Atlético Nacio…
vs
1.06
Independiente …
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Atlético Na…
+11
Gap
#17
Independien…
WR 100% 6 pts WR 0% 2 pts
Atlético Nacio… 10.0%
Nov 30 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 27 Atlétic… v Junior 1-1
Nov 23 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Nov 21 Atlétic… v America… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlétic… v America… 2-2
Nov 14 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 08 Atlétic… v Rionegr… 2-1
Nov 02 Atlétic… v America… 4-1
Oct 31 Atlétic… v Llaneros 0-3
Oct 26 Atlétic… v Indepen… 5-2
Independiente … 8.0%
Dec 02 Indepen… v America… 1-1
Nov 27 Indepen… v America… 2-1
Nov 23 Indepen… v Atlétic… 0-0
Nov 20 Indepen… v Junior 1-0
Nov 14 Indepen… v America… 3-0
Nov 11 Indepen… v Envigado 1-1
Nov 07 Indepen… v Deporti… 1-4
Nov 03 Indepen… v Envigado 0-1
Oct 29 Indepen… v Bucaram… 3-0
Oct 26 Indepen… v Atlétic… 5-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 23, 2025 Independiente… 0-0 Atlético Naci…
Oct 26, 2025 Atlético Naci… 5-2 Independiente…
Sep 08, 2025 Independiente… 3-3 Atlético Naci…
May 04, 2025 Independiente… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Mar 22, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente… 1-0 Atlético Naci…
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-0 Independiente…
Jul 03, 2024 Independiente… 1-2 Atlético Naci…
Jun 19, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-2 Independiente…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.