Division Profesional - Apertura · Apr 21, 2025 23:15
Nacional Asunción
PWR 56
Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 43
Nacional Asunción
PWR 56
1 - 1
FT
Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 43
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Nacional Asunción to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (17%)
3-0 (11%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense66
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.0
Attack48
Defense52
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Nacional Asunc… Form
WWWLW
UP
Deportivo Reco… Form
DWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS14%
Under 2.575%
Nacional As… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Deportivo R… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Nacional Asunc…vs
0.20
Deportivo Reco…Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Nacional As…+9
Gap#10
Deportivo R…
WR 50% 40 pts
WR 27% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asunci… | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 23 | 40 |
| Deportivo Recol… | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Nacional Asunc…
16.0%
| Apr 06 | Naciona… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Mar 30 | Naciona… v General… | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Naciona… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Naciona… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 0-2 |
Deportivo Reco…
12.0%
| Apr 14 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Apr 10 | Deporti… v 2 de Ma… | 0-4 |
| Mar 21 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 02 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 5-2 |
| Jan 28 | Deporti… v 2 de Ma… | 0-2 |
| Aug 16 | Deporti… v Club Sp… | 0-0 |
| Jul 28 | Deporti… v Rubio Ñu | 2-0 |
| May 11 | Deporti… v Club Sp… | 4-2 |
| Apr 19 | Deporti… v Rubio Ñu | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 08, 2025 | Deportivo Rec… | 1-0 | Nacional Asun… |
Key Factors
Nacional Asunción in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.