UEFA Europa Conference League · Dec 18, 2025 20:00
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 67
Jagiellonia
PWR 58
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 67
0 - 0
FT
Jagiellonia
PWR 58
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-0 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense72
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack50
Defense74
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.8
AZ Alkmaar Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Jagiellonia Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS68%
Under 2.533%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Jagiellonia Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.01
AZ Alkmaarvs
1.19
JagielloniaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
AZ Alkmaar-1
Gap#5
Jagiellonia
WR 70% 22 pts
WR 50% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 22 |
| Jagiellonia | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
AZ Alkmaar
14.0%
| Dec 11 | AZ Alkm… v Drita | 0-3 |
| Dec 07 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Dec 03 | AZ Alkm… v Zwolle | 1-3 |
| Nov 30 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 1-0 |
| Nov 27 | AZ Alkm… v Shelbou… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | AZ Alkm… v Heerenv… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 1-5 |
| Nov 06 | AZ Alkm… v Crystal… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | AZ Alkm… v Sparta … | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | AZ Alkm… v Utrecht | 4-1 |
Jagiellonia
4.0%
| Dec 14 | Jagiell… v Motor L… | 1-1 |
| Dec 11 | Jagiell… v Rayo Va… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Jagiell… v Nieciec… | 2-1 |
| Dec 04 | Jagiell… v GKS Kat… | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Jagiell… v Zaglebi… | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | Jagiell… v KuPS | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Jagiell… v Pogoń G… | 5-1 |
| Nov 09 | Jagiell… v Pogoń S… | 1-2 |
| Nov 06 | Jagiell… v Shkëndi… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Jagiell… v Raków C… | 1-2 |
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (3W in last 5)
Jagiellonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.