National Soccer League · Jan 03, 2026 16:30
Bugesera
PWR 35
APR
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Bugesera
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
APR Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (13%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 11 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (11 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
APR Form
WWDDW
STABLE
Bugesera Form
WDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS17%
Under 2.548%
APR Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Bugesera Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
APRvs
0.20
BugeseraDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
APR+12
Gap#13
Bugesera
WR 75% 36 pts
WR 11% 20 pts
APR
16.0%
| Dec 26 | APR v Muhanga | 1-2 |
| Dec 20 | APR v Gasogi … | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | APR v Gorilla | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | APR v Police | 0-0 |
| Dec 02 | APR v Etincel… | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | APR v AS Kiga… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | APR v Marines | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | APR v Musanze | 3-2 |
| Nov 08 | APR v Rayon S… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | APR v Rutsiro | 1-1 |
Bugesera
10.0%
| Dec 26 | Bugesera v Police | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Bugesera v Rayon S… | 2-1 |
| Dec 11 | Bugesera v Al Hila… | 3-1 |
| Dec 05 | Bugesera v Mukura | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Bugesera v Marines | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Bugesera v Al Merr… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Bugesera v Rutsiro | 2-3 |
| Nov 09 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Bugesera v Gorilla | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 05, 2025 | Bugesera | 0-1 | APR |
| Nov 27, 2024 | APR | 2-0 | Bugesera |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR | 1-1 | Bugesera |
| Apr 02, 2023 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Bugesera | 2-1 | APR |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Dec 12, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Bugesera | 0-3 | APR |
| May 11, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
Key Factors
APR in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.