AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Nicaragua Jul 10, 2025

Real Estelí

Home
VS
00:00

Walter Ferretti

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Walter Ferretti Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.40 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Walter Ferretti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Real Estelí Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Real Este… vs Managua FC 1-1
May 18 Real Este… vs Managua FC 2-0
May 11 Real Este… vs H&H Export 1-0
May 07 Real Este… vs H&H Export 1-3
Apr 27 Real Este… vs Managua FC 1-2
Apr 13 Real Este… vs H&H Export 1-0
Mar 29 Real Este… vs Jalapa 1-2
Mar 09 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 0-1
Mar 02 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 3-0
Feb 20 Real Este… vs Managua FC 1-1
Walter Ferretti Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 2-3
Apr 17 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 1-0
Apr 08 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 0-0
Mar 20 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 3-0
Mar 09 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 0-1
Mar 02 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-0
Feb 09 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 0-1
Feb 07 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 0-2
Jan 25 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 1-0
Jan 23 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Estelí in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Walter Ferretti struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Walter Ferretti 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Jan 23, 2025 Real Estelí 2 - 0 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Dec 15, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Dec 08, 2024 Walter Ferretti 1 - 4 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Walter Ferretti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.