AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Oct 07, 2023

Paris FC

Home
VS
17:00

Auxerre

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Paris FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Auxerre Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.09 - 1.14
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.1
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Paris FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Paris FC vs Apollon L… 0-1
Sep 23 Paris FC vs Sioni Bol… 0-2
Sep 17 Paris FC vs Pafos FC 1-1
Sep 08 Paris FC vs Algeria 1-7
Sep 02 Paris FC vs Angers 2-0
Aug 23 Paris FC vs Gareji 3-2
Aug 21 Paris FC vs AEK Larna… 2-0
Aug 18 Paris FC vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
May 27 Paris FC vs Apoel Nic… 4-3
May 19 Paris FC vs Gareji 2-3
Auxerre Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 03 Auxerre vs Lens 1-3
May 27 Auxerre vs Toulouse 1-1
May 21 Auxerre vs Paris Sai… 1-2
May 14 Auxerre vs Stade Bre… 1-0
Apr 22 Auxerre vs Lille 1-1
Feb 01 Auxerre vs Monaco 3-2
Jan 14 Auxerre vs Lens 1-0
Jan 11 Auxerre vs Toulouse 0-5
Dec 28 Auxerre vs Monaco 2-3
Dec 09 Auxerre vs Metz 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Auxerre struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2022 Auxerre 1 - 2 Paris FC Ligue 2
Aug 16, 2021 Paris FC 1 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Mar 13, 2021 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris FC Ligue 2
Nov 21, 2020 Paris FC 0 - 3 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris FC to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris FC Power 31
Auxerre Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.