AI Match Insights

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Trophée des Champions Jan 05, 2025

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
16:30

Monaco

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Monaco Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.00 - 1.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.4
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Paris Saint Germain Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Paris Sai… vs Lens 1-1
Dec 18 Paris Sai… vs Monaco 2-4
Dec 15 Paris Sai… vs Lyon 3-1
Dec 06 Paris Sai… vs Auxerre 0-0
Nov 26 Paris Sai… vs Bayern Mu… 1-0
Oct 27 Paris Sai… vs Marseille 0-3
Oct 19 Paris Sai… vs Strasbourg 4-2
Sep 27 Paris Sai… vs Rennes FC 3-1
Sep 01 Paris Sai… vs Lille 1-3
Aug 16 Paris Sai… vs LE Havre … 1-4
Monaco Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Monaco vs Paris Sai… 2-4
Dec 18 Monaco vs Paris FC 2-4
Dec 14 Monaco vs Reims 0-0
Dec 07 Monaco vs Toulouse 2-0
Dec 01 Monaco vs Marseille 2-1
Dec 01 Monaco vs Marseille 2-1
Nov 22 Monaco vs Brest 3-2
Nov 22 Monaco vs Stade Bre… 3-2
Nov 09 Monaco vs Strasbourg 1-3
Nov 09 Monaco vs Strasbourg 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monaco struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2024 Monaco 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 01, 2024 Monaco 0 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Nov 24, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 2 Monaco Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2023 Monaco 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 28, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 1 Monaco Ligue 1
Mar 20, 2022 Monaco 3 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Dec 12, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Monaco Ligue 1
May 19, 2021 Monaco 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Monaco Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.