Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Aug 28, 2022 18:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
1 - 1
FT

Monaco
PWR 34
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Paris Saint Ge… Form WWDWL
STABLE
Monaco Form DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS28%
Under 2.553%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Monaco Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
0.38
Monaco
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…
+9
Gap
#10
Monaco
WR 89% 48 pts WR 22% 27 pts
Paris Saint Ge… 14.0%
Aug 21 Paris S… v Lille 1-7
May 21 Paris S… v Metz 5-0
Apr 29 Paris S… v Strasbo… 3-3
Apr 17 Paris S… v Marseil… 2-1
Mar 20 Paris S… v Monaco 3-0
Feb 11 Paris S… v Rennes … 1-0
Feb 06 Paris S… v Lille 1-5
Dec 12 Paris S… v Monaco 2-0
Oct 29 Paris S… v Lille 2-1
Oct 03 Paris S… v Rennes … 2-0
Monaco 18.0%
Aug 13 Monaco v Rennes … 1-1
Aug 06 Monaco v Strasbo… 1-2
May 14 Monaco v Stade B… 4-2
Apr 20 Monaco v Nice 1-0
Apr 15 Monaco v Rennes … 2-3
Mar 20 Monaco v Paris S… 3-0
Mar 13 Monaco v Strasbo… 1-0
Mar 06 Monaco v Marseil… 0-1
Feb 13 Monaco v Lorient 0-0
Feb 05 Monaco v Lyon 2-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 20, 2022 Monaco 3-0 Paris Saint G…
Dec 12, 2021 Paris Saint G… 2-0 Monaco
May 19, 2021 Monaco 0-2 Paris Saint G…
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Monaco in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.