AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Dec 12, 2021

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
19:45

Monaco

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Monaco Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.10 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.5 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Paris Sai… vs Lille 2-1
Oct 03 Paris Sai… vs Rennes FC 2-0
Sep 22 Paris Sai… vs Metz 1-2
Aug 14 Paris Sai… vs Strasbourg 4-2
May 19 Paris Sai… vs Monaco 0-2
May 09 Paris Sai… vs Rennes FC 1-1
Apr 24 Paris Sai… vs Metz 1-3
Apr 10 Paris Sai… vs Strasbourg 1-4
Sep 16 Paris Sai… vs Metz 1-0
Jul 12 Paris Sai… vs LE Havre … 0-9
Monaco Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Monaco vs Strasbourg 1-1
Oct 31 Monaco vs Stade Bre… 2-0
Oct 16 Monaco vs Lyon 2-0
Sep 19 Monaco vs Nice 2-2
Sep 11 Monaco vs Marseille 0-2
Aug 13 Monaco vs Lorient 1-0
May 19 Monaco vs Paris Sai… 0-2
May 16 Monaco vs Rennes FC 2-1
May 02 Monaco vs Lyon 2-3
Apr 21 Monaco vs Lyon 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Monaco struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 19, 2021 Monaco 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Final Verdict

PRO: Paris Saint Germain to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Monaco Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Monaco Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.