Eredivisie · Nov 10, 2023 19:00

Fortuna Sittard
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Heracles
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Fortuna Sittard to win (70% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
70%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fortuna Sittard Form LLLLD
DOWN
Heracles Form LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS37%
Under 2.568%
Fortuna Sit… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Heracles Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Fortuna Sittard
vs
0.72
Heracles
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings68%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Fortuna Sit…
+4
Gap
#16
Heracles
WR 50% 25 pts WR 9% 17 pts
Fortuna Sittard 2.0%
Nov 05 Fortuna… v Zwolle 2-0
Oct 21 Fortuna… v PSV Ein… 3-1
Oct 01 Fortuna… v AZ Alkm… 4-0
Sep 22 Fortuna… v GO Ahea… 3-0
Sep 03 Fortuna… v Ajax 0-0
Aug 19 Fortuna… v Almere … 2-1
May 14 Fortuna… v PSV Ein… 2-1
Apr 23 Fortuna… v GO Ahea… 2-0
Apr 16 Fortuna… v AZ Alkm… 0-3
Apr 09 Fortuna… v Ajax 4-0
Heracles 2.0%
Nov 04 Heracles v PSV Ein… 0-6
Oct 28 Heracles v Heerenv… 3-0
Oct 22 Heracles v FC Twen… 2-2
Oct 07 Heracles v GO Ahea… 4-0
Sep 23 Heracles v Karlova… 0-1
Aug 18 Heracles v NEC Nij… 2-1
Feb 24 Heracles v Telstar 7-0
Jan 12 Heracles v GO Ahea… 0-1
Sep 16 Heracles v Telstar 0-3
Jul 29 Heracles v NEC Nij… 1-3
Head-to-Head (4)
Apr 03, 2022 Fortuna Sitta… 0-2 Heracles
Nov 20, 2021 Heracles 3-1 Fortuna Sitta…
Feb 05, 2021 Fortuna Sitta… 0-1 Heracles
Dec 11, 2020 Heracles 1-2 Fortuna Sitta…
Key Factors
Fortuna Sittard struggling (4L in last 5)
Heracles struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.