AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 20, 2024

NAC Breda

Home
VS
12:00

Excelsior

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
NAC Breda Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Excelsior Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.50 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
NAC Breda Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 02 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 4-1
May 28 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 6-2
May 25 NAC Breda vs Emmen 0-3
May 21 NAC Breda vs Emmen 1-1
May 17 NAC Breda vs Roda 0-5
May 13 NAC Breda vs Roda 3-1
May 10 NAC Breda vs FC OSS 1-1
May 03 NAC Breda vs ADO Den H… 2-2
Apr 28 NAC Breda vs Jong PSV 2-0
Apr 19 NAC Breda vs Den Bosch 2-2
Excelsior Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar 8-0
Jun 02 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 4-1
May 28 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 6-2
May 25 Excelsior vs ADO Den H… 7-1
May 22 Excelsior vs ADO Den H… 1-2
May 19 Excelsior vs Feyenoord 4-0
May 19 Excelsior vs Feyenoord 4-0
May 12 Excelsior vs Heracles 4-0
May 12 Excelsior vs Heracles 4-0
May 06 Excelsior vs Nijmegen 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • NAC Breda in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Excelsior in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 02, 2024 Excelsior 4 - 1 NAC Breda Eredivisie
May 28, 2024 NAC Breda 6 - 2 Excelsior Eredivisie
Jul 22, 2023 NAC Breda 2 - 0 Excelsior Friendlies Clu…
May 06, 2022 Excelsior 2 - 2 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 NAC Breda 4 - 1 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1 - 2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NAC Breda to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAC Breda Power 0
Excelsior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.