Friendlies Clubs · Jul 22, 2023 11:00
NAC Breda
PWR 52
Excelsior
PWR 6
NAC Breda
PWR 52
2 - 0
FT
Excelsior
PWR 6
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: NAC Breda to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense65
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.0
Attack18
Defense0
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G4.0
NAC Breda Form
LDDWL
STABLE
Excelsior Form
LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS26%
Under 2.544%
NAC Breda Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Excelsior Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
NAC Bredavs
0.31
ExcelsiorDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#193
NAC Breda+899
Gap#1092
Excelsior
WR 40% 8 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| Excelsior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
NAC Breda
8.0%
| May 19 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 2-1 |
| Nov 04 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 1-1 |
| May 06 | NAC Bre… v Excelsi… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 1-4 |
| Feb 08 | NAC Bre… v PSV Ein… | 4-0 |
| Dec 14 | NAC Bre… v Utrecht | 3-2 |
| Oct 01 | NAC Bre… v Excelsi… | 4-1 |
| Aug 13 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 2-2 |
| Jul 23 | NAC Bre… v Sparta … | 1-2 |
| May 23 | NAC Bre… v Nijmegen | 1-2 |
Excelsior
2.0%
| Apr 08 | Excelsi… v PSV Ein… | 4-0 |
| Apr 01 | Excelsi… v FC Twen… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Excelsi… v Groning… | 3-0 |
| Feb 10 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 5-0 |
| Jan 29 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 1-4 |
| Jan 11 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 1-4 |
| Jan 08 | Excelsi… v Groning… | 1-0 |
| Oct 23 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Oct 16 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 7-1 |
| Aug 31 | Excelsi… v FC Twen… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 06, 2022 | Excelsior | 2-2 | NAC Breda |
| Oct 01, 2021 | NAC Breda | 4-1 | Excelsior |
| Apr 23, 2021 | NAC Breda | 1-2 | Excelsior |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NAC Breda |
Key Factors
Excelsior struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.