Eerste Divisie · Oct 01, 2021 18:00

NAC Breda
PWR 55
4 - 1
FT

Excelsior
PWR 58
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: NAC Breda to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (17%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense55
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack77
Defense42
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.7
NAC Breda Form DWLWL
STABLE
Excelsior Form WDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS34%
Under 2.573%
NAC Breda Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Excelsior Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
NAC Breda
vs
1.06
Excelsior
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
NAC Breda
+4
Gap
#25
Excelsior
WR 43% 35 pts WR 53% 26 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
NAC Breda21984392735
Excelsior15825332526
NAC Breda 10.0%
Aug 13 NAC Bre… v Telstar 2-2
Jul 23 NAC Bre… v Sparta … 1-2
May 23 NAC Bre… v Nijmegen 1-2
May 03 NAC Bre… v Nijmegen 0-2
Apr 23 NAC Bre… v Excelsi… 1-2
Feb 16 NAC Bre… v Telstar 1-2
Jan 03 NAC Bre… v Excelsi… 0-3
Nov 14 NAC Bre… v Telstar 1-0
Oct 30 NAC Bre… v Nijmegen 0-1
Aug 22 NAC Bre… v Sparta … 1-1
Excelsior 7.5%
Apr 23 Excelsi… v NAC Bre… 1-2
Apr 16 Excelsi… v Telstar 1-1
Jan 03 Excelsi… v NAC Bre… 0-3
Sep 22 Excelsi… v Telstar 1-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1-2 Excelsior
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0-3 NAC Breda
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.