Eerste Divisie · Oct 01, 2021 18:00

NAC Breda
PWR 55

Excelsior
PWR 58

NAC Breda
PWR 55
4 - 1
FT

Excelsior
PWR 58
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: NAC Breda to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (17%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense55
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack77
Defense42
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.7
NAC Breda Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Excelsior Form
WDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS34%
Under 2.573%
NAC Breda Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Excelsior Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
NAC Bredavs
1.06
ExcelsiorDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
NAC Breda+4
Gap#25
Excelsior
WR 43% 35 pts
WR 53% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 27 | 35 |
| Excelsior | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 26 |
NAC Breda
10.0%
| Aug 13 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 2-2 |
| Jul 23 | NAC Bre… v Sparta … | 1-2 |
| May 23 | NAC Bre… v Nijmegen | 1-2 |
| May 03 | NAC Bre… v Nijmegen | 0-2 |
| Apr 23 | NAC Bre… v Excelsi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | NAC Bre… v Excelsi… | 0-3 |
| Nov 14 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 1-0 |
| Oct 30 | NAC Bre… v Nijmegen | 0-1 |
| Aug 22 | NAC Bre… v Sparta … | 1-1 |
Excelsior
7.5%
| Apr 23 | Excelsi… v NAC Bre… | 1-2 |
| Apr 16 | Excelsi… v Telstar | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Excelsi… v NAC Bre… | 0-3 |
| Sep 22 | Excelsi… v Telstar | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 23, 2021 | NAC Breda | 1-2 | Excelsior |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NAC Breda |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.