AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 25, 2023

Sydney

Home
VS
08:45

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Sydney Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.70 - 2.36
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Under 2.5 Goals 21%
Sydney Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Sydney vs Melbourne… 2-0
Oct 21 Sydney vs Melbourne… 0-2
Sep 24 Sydney vs Melbourne… 1-2
Aug 13 Sydney vs Central C… 3-3
May 19 Sydney vs Melbourne… 4-0
May 12 Sydney vs Melbourne… 1-1
May 06 Sydney vs Western S… 1-2
Apr 29 Sydney vs Newcastle… 2-0
Apr 16 Sydney vs Perth Glo… 4-1
Mar 18 Sydney vs Western S… 0-4
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Nov 05 Western S… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Sep 16 Western S… vs Brisbane … 4-2
Aug 29 Western S… vs Adelaide … 5-1
May 06 Western S… vs Sydney 1-2
Apr 15 Western S… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Apr 08 Western S… vs Macarthur… 2-2
Mar 31 Western S… vs Adelaide … 2-3
Mar 18 Western S… vs Sydney 0-4
Mar 10 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Sydney A-League
Mar 18, 2023 Sydney 0 - 4 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Feb 11, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 1 Sydney A-League
Nov 12, 2022 Sydney 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sydney to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sydney Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.