AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Dec 24, 2023

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Home
VS
12:30

Tirana

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Tirana Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.91 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Tirana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 1-2
Dec 11 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 2-2
Oct 23 Egnatia R… vs Tirana 2-3
Oct 06 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 3-0
Oct 01 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 0-1
Jun 01 Egnatia R… vs Tirana 0-1
May 25 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 1-0
May 06 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 2-0
Feb 24 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 2-3
Dec 16 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 0-1
Tirana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 0-1
Dec 03 Tirana vs Partizani 1-1
Nov 05 Tirana vs Skenderbe… 1-1
Nov 01 Tirana vs Teuta Dur… 2-0
Oct 28 Tirana vs Dinamo Ti… 1-1
Oct 23 Tirana vs Egnatia R… 2-3
Oct 19 Tirana vs Partizani 2-1
Oct 07 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 0-1
Sep 14 Tirana vs Skenderbe… 3-1
Aug 27 Tirana vs Dinamo Ti… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2023 Tirana 2 - 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Jun 01, 2023 Tirana 0 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Power 0
Tirana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Tirana Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.