AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Oct 23, 2023

Tirana

Home
VS
12:00

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tirana Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.45 - 1.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.6
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tirana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Tirana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Tirana vs Partizani 2-1
Oct 07 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 0-1
Sep 14 Tirana vs Skenderbe… 3-1
Aug 27 Tirana vs Dinamo Ti… 2-3
Jun 01 Tirana vs Egnatia R… 0-1
May 25 Tirana vs Bylis 2-2
May 17 Tirana vs Partizani 1-1
Apr 22 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 0-1
Mar 18 Tirana vs Bylis 1-1
Jan 21 Tirana vs Bylis 4-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 3-0
Oct 01 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 0-1
Jun 01 Egnatia R… vs Tirana 0-1
May 25 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 1-0
May 06 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 2-0
Feb 24 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 2-3
Dec 16 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 0-1
Mar 03 Egnatia R… vs Flamurtari 1-2
Nov 28 Egnatia R… vs Flamurtari 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tirana in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 01, 2023 Tirana 0 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tirana Power 0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Tirana Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.