AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Dec 13, 2025

Sporting CP

Home
VS
20:30

AVS

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
AVS Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
AVS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Sporting CP Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Sporting … vs Bayern Mu… 3-1
Dec 05 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-1
Nov 30 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 4-0
Nov 26 Sporting … vs Club Brug… 3-0
Nov 22 Sporting … vs Marinhense 3-0
Nov 20 Sporting … vs Sunderlan… 1-0
Nov 08 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 1-2
Nov 04 Sporting … vs Juventus 1-1
Oct 31 Sporting … vs Alverca 2-0
Oct 28 Sporting … vs Alverca 5-1
AVS Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 AVS vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
Nov 28 AVS vs Guimaraes 4-0
Nov 22 AVS vs Académico… 0-0
Nov 09 AVS vs GIL Vicen… 1-1
Nov 02 AVS vs Tondela 2-2
Oct 25 AVS vs Santa Cla… 2-0
Oct 18 AVS vs AD Fornos… 0-7
Oct 04 AVS vs Alverca 1-3
Sep 27 AVS vs Estrela d… 3-0
Sep 20 AVS vs Benfica 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 AVS 2 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Sep 22, 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 0 AVS Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

MASTER: Sporting CP to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Sporting CP Power 0
AVS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sporting CP Position

+16

Position Gap

18

AVS Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.