Predictions Match Details
Eredivisie · Dec 21, 2024 19:00

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

FC Twente
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AZ Alkmaar Form WWWWW
UP
FC Twente Form WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS68%
Under 2.529%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
FC Twente Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.46
AZ Alkmaar
vs
1.22
FC Twente
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings55%
Market50%
League Standings
#6
AZ Alkmaar
+1
Gap
#7
FC Twente
WR 40% 32 pts WR 27% 31 pts
AZ Alkmaar 20.0%
Dec 18 AZ Alkm… v Groning… 3-1
Dec 15 AZ Alkm… v NAC Bre… 1-2
Dec 08 AZ Alkm… v Ajax 2-1
Dec 08 AZ Alkm… v Ajax 2-1
Dec 01 AZ Alkm… v Heracles 1-0
Nov 24 AZ Alkm… v Sparta … 1-2
Nov 10 AZ Alkm… v Willem … 1-2
Nov 02 AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… 3-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 2-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 2-2
FC Twente 16.0%
Dec 18 FC Twen… v Katwijk 2-3
Dec 15 FC Twen… v Groning… 2-0
Dec 06 FC Twen… v PSV Ein… 6-1
Dec 01 FC Twen… v GO Ahea… 3-2
Dec 01 FC Twen… v GO Ahea… 3-2
Nov 23 FC Twen… v Fortuna… 1-2
Nov 10 FC Twen… v Ajax 2-2
Nov 02 FC Twen… v Willem … 0-1
Oct 27 FC Twen… v Heracles 5-0
Oct 27 FC Twen… v Heracles 5-0
Head-to-Head (9)
May 05, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Twente
May 05, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Twente
Jan 13, 2024 FC Twente 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
Jan 13, 2024 FC Twente 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
Mar 19, 2023 FC Twente 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 11, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 1-1 FC Twente
Mar 13, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0-1 FC Twente
Jan 19, 2022 FC Twente 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 23, 2021 FC Twente 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (5W in last 5)
FC Twente in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.