Eredivisie · Mar 19, 2023 19:00
FC Twente
PWR 35
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
FC Twente
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Twente Form
DLWDW
STABLE
AZ Alkmaar Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS62%
Under 2.534%
FC Twente Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
FC Twentevs
1.14
AZ AlkmaarDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
FC Twente+1
Gap#7
AZ Alkmaar
WR 46% 34 pts
WR 46% 33 pts
FC Twente
12.0%
| Mar 04 | FC Twen… v Heerenv… | 3-3 |
| Feb 19 | FC Twen… v GO Ahea… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | FC Twen… v FC Vole… | 3-0 |
| Jan 29 | FC Twen… v Feyenoo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | FC Twen… v Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Nov 06 | FC Twen… v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
| Oct 09 | FC Twen… v Feyenoo… | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | FC Twen… v Heerenv… | 2-1 |
| Sep 11 | FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | FC Twen… v Excelsi… | 4-0 |
AZ Alkmaar
18.0%
| Feb 10 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 5-0 |
| Feb 04 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 1-4 |
| Jan 22 | AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… | 3-1 |
| Jan 11 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-4 |
| Oct 30 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 2-1 |
| Sep 18 | AZ Alkm… v Ajax | 2-1 |
| Sep 11 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 1-1 |
| Sep 01 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 11, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 | FC Twente |
| Mar 13, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0-1 | FC Twente |
| Jan 19, 2022 | FC Twente | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Sep 23, 2021 | FC Twente | 3-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.