AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
DFB Pokal Dec 03, 2025

Hamburger SV

Home
VS
19:45

Holstein Kiel

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Hamburger SV Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Holstein Kiel Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.70 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Holstein Kiel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Hamburger SV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Hamburger… vs VfB Stutt… 2-1
Nov 22 Hamburger… vs FC Augsbu… 1-0
Nov 08 Hamburger… vs Borussia … 1-1
Nov 02 Hamburger… vs FC Koln 4-1
Oct 28 Hamburger… vs FC Heiden… 0-1
Oct 25 Hamburger… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-1
Oct 18 Hamburger… vs RB Leipzig 2-1
Oct 05 Hamburger… vs FSV Mainz… 4-0
Sep 28 Hamburger… vs Union Ber… 0-0
Sep 20 Hamburger… vs FC Heiden… 2-1
Holstein Kiel Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Holstein … vs Hertha Be… 0-1
Nov 23 Holstein … vs FC Kaiser… 4-1
Nov 13 Holstein … vs Silkeborg… 3-2
Nov 09 Holstein … vs Fortuna D… 1-0
Oct 31 Holstein … vs Preussen … 2-1
Oct 28 Holstein … vs VfL Wolfs… 0-1
Oct 25 Holstein … vs VfL Bochum 1-1
Oct 19 Holstein … vs FC Nurnbe… 1-1
Oct 04 Holstein … vs SV Darmst… 1-1
Sep 27 Holstein … vs SV Elvers… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Holstein Kiel struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Apr 20, 2024 Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel Pro League
Nov 11, 2023 Holstein Kiel 4 - 2 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Mar 18, 2023 Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Sep 09, 2022 Holstein Kiel 2 - 3 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Apr 10, 2022 Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2021 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Mar 08, 2021 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Nov 09, 2020 Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Jun 08, 2020 Hamburger SV 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 42% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamburger SV Power 29
Holstein Kiel Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.