Asian Cup · Jan 16, 2024 17:30
Saudi Arabia
PWR 77
AS Roma
PWR 41
Saudi Arabia
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT
AS Roma
PWR 41
56% H
23% D
21% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Saudi Arabia to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (13%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense65
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense82
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.6
Saudi Arabia Form
LWLW
STABLE
AS Roma Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS19%
Under 2.567%
Saudi Arabia Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
AS Roma Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Saudi Arabiavs
0.26
AS RomaDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Saudi Arabia+1
Gap#2
AS Roma
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Saudi Arabia
10.0%
| Jan 12 | Saudi A… v AS Roma | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | Saudi A… v AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Saudi A… v Morocco | 1-0 |
| Sep 07 | Saudi A… v AS Roma | 0-1 |
AS Roma
4.0%
| Jan 14 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | AS Roma v Lazio | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Jan 07 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | AS Roma v Cremone… | 2-1 |
| Dec 30 | AS Roma v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Dec 30 | AS Roma v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Dec 23 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-0 |
| Dec 23 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 12, 2023 | Saudi Arabia | 1-2 | AS Roma |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Saudi Arabia | 1-0 | AS Roma |
| Sep 07, 2021 | AS Roma | 0-1 | Saudi Arabia |
Key Factors
AS Roma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.