AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gulf Cup of Nations Jan 12, 2023

Saudi Arabia

Home
VS
15:00

AS Roma

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Saudi Arabia Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
AS Roma Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Saudi Arabia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Saudi Arabia Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Saudi Ara… vs AS Roma 1-0
Dec 07 Saudi Ara… vs Morocco 1-0
Sep 07 Saudi Ara… vs AS Roma 0-1
AS Roma Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 13 AS Roma vs Torino 1-1
Nov 09 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 1-1
Oct 23 AS Roma vs Napoli 0-1
Oct 09 AS Roma vs Lecce 2-1
Sep 26 AS Roma vs Bosnia & … 4-1
Sep 18 AS Roma vs Atalanta 0-1
Sep 04 AS Roma vs Udinese 4-0
Aug 27 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-1
Jun 07 AS Roma vs Bosnia & … 1-0
May 20 AS Roma vs Torino 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2022 Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 AS Roma World Cup - Qu…
Sep 07, 2021 AS Roma 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia World Cup - Qu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Roma to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Saudi Arabia Power 0
AS Roma Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.