2. Bundesliga · Nov 11, 2023 12:00
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
4 - 2
FT
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
2-3 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Holstein Kiel Form
DLWLW
STABLE
Hamburger SV Form
WDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS90%
Under 2.535%
Holstein Kiā¦ Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Holstein Kielvs
2.43
Hamburger SVDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Holstein Kiā¦+3
Gap#14
Hamburger SV
WR 39% 97 pts
WR 43% 77 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 67 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 104 | 99 | 97 |
| Hamburger SV | 49 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 96 | 67 | 77 |
Holstein Kiel
10.0%
| Nov 01 | Holsteiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 3-3 |
| Sep 24 | Holsteiā¦ v Hertha ā¦ | 2-3 |
| Sep 02 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 2-1 |
| Aug 20 | Holsteiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 2-4 |
| Aug 05 | Holsteiā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jul 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jul 07 | Holsteiā¦ v Hannoveā¦ | 1-2 |
| May 28 | Holsteiā¦ v Hannoveā¦ | 1-5 |
| Apr 02 | Holsteiā¦ v Arminiaā¦ | 2-3 |
| Mar 18 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 0-0 |
Hamburger SV
8.0%
| Apr 21 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 4-3 |
| Mar 18 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 3-3 |
| Jan 13 | Hamburgā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 6-2 |
| Oct 14 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 3-0 |
| Sep 09 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 2-3 |
| Aug 06 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Hamburgā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 1-3 |
| Apr 10 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Hamburgā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 18, 2023 | Hamburger SV | 0-0 | Holstein Kiel |
| Sep 09, 2022 | Holstein Kiel | 2-3 | Hamburger SV |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Holstein Kiel | 1-0 | Hamburger SV |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Nov 09, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Jun 08, 2020 | Hamburger SV | 3-3 | Holstein Kiel |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.