2. Bundesliga · Sep 09, 2022 16:30
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
2 - 3
FT
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Holstein Kiel Form
LWWDD
STABLE
Hamburger SV Form
WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS46%
Under 2.549%
Holstein Kiā¦ Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Holstein Kielvs
0.76
Hamburger SVDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Holstein Kiā¦+3
Gap#14
Hamburger SV
WR 39% 97 pts
WR 43% 77 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 67 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 104 | 99 | 97 |
| Hamburger SV | 49 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 96 | 67 | 77 |
Holstein Kiel
12.0%
| Aug 20 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 7-2 |
| Aug 13 | Holsteiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 3-0 |
| Aug 07 | Holsteiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jul 16 | Holsteiā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 2-2 |
| Apr 16 | Holsteiā¦ v Dynamo ā¦ | 0-0 |
| Apr 10 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 25 | Holsteiā¦ v Hannoveā¦ | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Holsteiā¦ v Dynamo ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 1-1 |
Hamburger SV
8.0%
| Aug 06 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Hamburgā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 1-3 |
| Apr 10 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Hamburgā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 2-3 |
| Feb 12 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 30 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 18 | Hamburgā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 0-2 |
| Aug 28 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 13 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 10, 2022 | Holstein Kiel | 1-0 | Hamburger SV |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Nov 09, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Jun 08, 2020 | Hamburger SV | 3-3 | Holstein Kiel |
Key Factors
Hamburger SV struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.