2. Bundesliga · Apr 10, 2022 11:30
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Holstein Kiel Form
LLWDW
DOWN
Hamburger SV Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
Holstein Kiā¦ Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Holstein Kielvs
2.00
Hamburger SVDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Holstein Kiā¦+3
Gap#14
Hamburger SV
WR 39% 97 pts
WR 43% 77 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 67 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 104 | 99 | 97 |
| Hamburger SV | 49 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 96 | 67 | 77 |
Holstein Kiel
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 25 | Holsteiā¦ v Hannoveā¦ | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Holsteiā¦ v Dynamo ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 18 | Holsteiā¦ v Hannoveā¦ | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Holsteiā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 1-1 |
Hamburger SV
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Hamburgā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 2-3 |
| Feb 12 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 30 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 18 | Hamburgā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 0-2 |
| Aug 28 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 13 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jul 07 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 20 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 30, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Nov 09, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Jun 08, 2020 | Hamburger SV | 3-3 | Holstein Kiel |
Key Factors
Hamburger SV in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.