2. Bundesliga · Mar 08, 2021 19:30
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
1 - 1
FT
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
3-3 (4%)
2-3 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Hamburger SV Form
LLDDL
DOWN
Holstein Kiel Form
LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS83%
Under 2.524%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
3%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
19%
Holstein Kiā¦ Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.37
Hamburger SVvs
1.93
Holstein KielDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Hamburger SV-3
Gap#11
Holstein Kiā¦
WR 43% 77 pts
WR 39% 97 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 49 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 96 | 67 | 77 |
| Holstein Kiel | 67 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 104 | 99 | 97 |
Hamburger SV
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 3-2 |
| Nov 09 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Jun 21 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jun 08 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 3-3 |
Holstein Kiel
8.0%
| Feb 22 | Holsteiā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 24 | Holsteiā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 1-3 |
| Sep 26 | Holsteiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 18 | Holsteiā¦ v Dynamo ā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jun 08 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 3-3 |
| May 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Arminiaā¦ | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 09, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Jun 08, 2020 | Hamburger SV | 3-3 | Holstein Kiel |
Key Factors
Hamburger SV struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.