Ekstraklasa · Dec 10, 2023 11:30

Lech Poznan
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Piast Gliwice
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Lech Poznan Form WDDWW
STABLE
Piast Gliwice Form WDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS21%
Under 2.559%
Lech Poznan Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Piast Gliwi… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Lech Poznan
vs
0.28
Piast Gliwice
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Lech Poznan
+3
Gap
#12
Piast Gliwi…
WR 30% 26 pts WR 30% 23 pts
Lech Poznan 16.0%
Dec 07 Lech Po… v Arka Gd… 0-1
Oct 28 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 1-1
Sep 02 Lech Po… v Gornik … 1-1
Jul 22 Lech Po… v Piast G… 1-2
May 06 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 3-0
Apr 30 Lech Po… v Gornik … 0-1
Mar 12 Lech Po… v Piast G… 1-1
Mar 03 Lech Po… v Lechia … 5-0
Oct 23 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 0-0
Oct 16 Lech Po… v Gornik … 1-2
Piast Gliwice 12.0%
Sep 29 Piast G… v Widzew … 3-2
Sep 16 Piast G… v Legia W… 1-1
Aug 11 Piast G… v Raków C… 2-1
Aug 05 Piast G… v Gornik … 0-0
Jul 22 Piast G… v Lech Po… 1-2
Apr 23 Piast G… v Widzew … 2-3
Mar 31 Piast G… v Gornik … 1-0
Mar 12 Piast G… v Lech Po… 1-1
Feb 19 Piast G… v Legia W… 0-1
Feb 04 Piast G… v Raków C… 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Jul 22, 2023 Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lech Poznan
Mar 12, 2023 Piast Gliwice 1-1 Lech Poznan
Aug 28, 2022 Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice
May 08, 2022 Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lech Poznan
Nov 20, 2021 Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Key Factors
Lech Poznan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.