AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Sep 29, 2024

PAOK

Home
VS
17:30

Aris Thessaloniki

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
PAOK Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Aris Thessaloniki Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.42 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
PAOK Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 PAOK vs Iraklis 1… 0-0
Sep 21 PAOK vs Volos NFC 1-4
Sep 15 PAOK vs Panathina… 0-0
Sep 15 PAOK vs Panathina… 0-0
Sep 01 PAOK vs Atromitos 1-2
Sep 01 PAOK vs Atromitos 1-2
Sep 01 PAOK vs Puskás Ak… 2-1
Aug 25 PAOK vs Panetolik… 2-0
Aug 25 PAOK vs Panetolik… 2-0
Aug 18 PAOK vs Nyíregyhá… 2-1
Aris Thessaloniki Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 2-1
Aug 31 Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… 1-1
May 25 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 1-0
May 19 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 1-2
May 15 Aris Thes… vs Larisa 2-4
Apr 28 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 0-1
Apr 24 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 1-1
Apr 21 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 1-2
Apr 14 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 2-0
Apr 07 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 19, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Mar 10, 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Jan 07, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 2 - 1 PAOK Super League 1
Sep 17, 2023 PAOK 0 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Apr 30, 2023 PAOK 3 - 2 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Mar 19, 2023 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Sep 04, 2022 Aris Thessaloniki 0 - 0 PAOK Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PAOK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PAOK Power 0
Aris Thessaloniki Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

PAOK Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Aris Thessaloniki Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.