AI Match Insights
Super League 1 Mar 10, 2024
PAOK
HomeVS
19:00
Aris Thessaloniki
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
PAOK Win
Draw
Aris Thessaloniki Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.74 - 1.73
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
PAOK Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 03 | PAOK vs MTK Budap… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | PAOK vs Panserrai… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | PAOK vs Panetolik… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | PAOK vs Panathina… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | PAOK vs Olympiako… | 1-4 |
| Feb 16 | PAOK vs Zalaegers… | 3-4 |
| Feb 14 | PAOK vs Panathina… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | PAOK vs Atromitos | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | PAOK vs Puskás Ak… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | PAOK vs Panserrai… | 5-0 |
Aris Thessaloniki Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 06 | Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… | 3-3 |
| Feb 28 | Aris Thes… vs Panathina… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Aris Thes… vs Niki Volos | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Aris Thes… vs Niki Volos | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… | 0-4 |
| Jan 10 | Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- PAOK in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 07, 2024 | Aris Thessaloniki | 2 - 1 | PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | PAOK | 0 - 0 | Aris Thessaloniki | Super League 1 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | PAOK | 3 - 2 | Aris Thessaloniki | Super League 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Aris Thessaloniki | 1 - 2 | PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Jan 04, 2023 | PAOK | 1 - 0 | Aris Thessaloniki | Super League 1 |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Aris Thessaloniki | 0 - 0 | PAOK | Super League 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: PAOK to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
PAOK Power
0
Aris Thessaloniki Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
PAOK Position+3
Position Gap6
Aris Thessaloniki Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.