Super League 1 · Apr 30, 2023 17:00
PAOK
PWR 35
Aris Thessaloniki
PWR 35
PAOK
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
Aris Thessaloniki
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: PAOK to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
PAOK Form
WDWWL
STABLE
Aris Thessalon… Form
WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS48%
Under 2.546%
PAOK Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Aris Thessa… Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
PAOKvs
0.77
Aris Thessalon…Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
PAOK+3
Gap#6
Aris Thessa…
WR 90% 44 pts
WR 40% 25 pts
PAOK
14.0%
| Mar 19 | PAOK v Aris Th… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | PAOK v Makedon… | 3-3 |
| Mar 04 | PAOK v Zalaege… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | PAOK v Puskás … | 1-4 |
| Jan 21 | PAOK v Iraklis… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | PAOK v OFI Cre… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | PAOK v Aris Th… | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | PAOK v Atromit… | 1-1 |
| Dec 22 | PAOK v Niki Vo… | 2-0 |
| Dec 22 | PAOK v Panetol… | 0-2 |
Aris Thessalon…
10.0%
| Apr 26 | Aris Th… v Olympia… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Aris Th… v Olympia… | 2-2 |
| Mar 19 | Aris Th… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Aris Th… v Olympia… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Aris Th… v Levadia… | 1-0 |
| Jan 08 | Aris Th… v Asteras… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Aris Th… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Aris Th… v Panetol… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | Aris Th… v Levadia… | 1-1 |
| Dec 16 | Aris Th… v Levadia… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 19, 2023 | Aris Thessalo… | 1-2 | PAOK |
| Jan 04, 2023 | PAOK | 1-0 | Aris Thessalo… |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Aris Thessalo… | 0-0 | PAOK |
Key Factors
PAOK in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.