AI Match Insights

Ekstraklasa Mar 02, 2025

Jagiellonia

Home
VS
16:30

GKS Katowice

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Jagiellonia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
GKS Katowice Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 3.27 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Jagiellonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
GKS Katowice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Jagiellonia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Jagiellon… vs Legia War… 3-1
Feb 16 Jagiellon… vs Motor Lub… 3-0
Jan 19 Jagiellon… vs CSKA 1948 7-0
Dec 05 Jagiellon… vs Olimpia G… 1-3
Dec 01 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Szc… 1-1
Sep 25 Jagiellon… vs Motor Lub… 0-2
Sep 01 Jagiellon… vs Widzew Łó… 1-0
Aug 25 Jagiellon… vs GKS Katow… 3-1
May 25 Jagiellon… vs Warta Poz… 3-0
May 18 Jagiellon… vs Piast Gli… 1-1
GKS Katowice Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 GKS Katow… vs Raków Czę… 1-2
Sep 27 GKS Katow… vs Pogoń Szc… 3-1
Aug 31 GKS Katow… vs Zaglebie … 1-0
Aug 25 GKS Katow… vs Jagiellon… 3-1
Aug 03 GKS Katow… vs Raków Czę… 0-1
Jul 13 GKS Katow… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
May 26 GKS Katow… vs Arka Gdyn… 0-1
May 18 GKS Katow… vs Wisla Kra… 5-2
May 10 GKS Katow… vs Tychy 71 2-3
May 04 GKS Katow… vs Stal Rzes… 8-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jagiellonia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • GKS Katowice in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2024 GKS Katowice 3 - 1 Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jagiellonia to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jagiellonia Power 0
GKS Katowice Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jagiellonia Position

+10

Position Gap

13

GKS Katowice Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.