AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Nov 24, 2024

Bolívar

Home
VS
21:30

Nacional Potosí

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bolívar Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Nacional Potosí Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.04 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolívar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Nacional Potosí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Bolívar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Bolívar vs Blooming 0-0
Oct 20 Bolívar vs Aurora 0-1
Sep 26 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 3-0
Sep 19 Bolívar vs The Stron… 1-1
Sep 15 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 2-0
Aug 25 Bolívar vs Universit… 0-1
Aug 20 Bolívar vs San Anton… 0-0
Jul 28 Bolívar vs Nacional … 2-1
Jul 14 Bolívar vs Blooming 0-5
May 22 Bolívar vs Aurora 1-1
Nacional Potosí Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 1-0
Sep 25 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-1
Aug 25 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 2-2
Aug 13 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 3-3
Aug 06 Nacional … vs Blooming 4-1
Jul 28 Nacional … vs Bolívar 2-1
Jul 20 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 2-0
May 12 Nacional … vs The Stron… 2-1
Apr 06 Nacional … vs Blooming 2-1
Mar 10 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 28, 2024 Nacional Potosí 2 - 1 Bolívar Primera Divisi…
Oct 21, 2023 Bolívar 4 - 3 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Apr 30, 2023 Nacional Potosí 3 - 2 Bolívar Primera Divisi…
Oct 15, 2022 Bolívar 3 - 1 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Aug 07, 2022 Nacional Potosí 2 - 1 Bolívar Primera Divisi…
Oct 28, 2021 Bolívar 4 - 2 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolívar to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bolívar Power 0
Nacional Potosí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.