AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Jul 28, 2024

Nacional Potosí

Home
VS
21:30

Bolívar

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Nacional Potosí Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Bolívar Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.63 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nacional Potosí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Bolívar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Nacional Potosí Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 2-0
May 12 Nacional … vs The Stron… 2-1
Apr 06 Nacional … vs Blooming 2-1
Mar 10 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 3-1
Feb 28 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 1-1
Feb 18 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 3-3
Dec 06 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-0
Nov 12 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 0-0
Oct 21 Nacional … vs Bolívar 4-3
Jul 11 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 3-1
Bolívar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 14 Bolívar vs Blooming 0-5
May 22 Bolívar vs Aurora 1-1
May 12 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 0-1
Apr 18 Bolívar vs San Anton… 1-1
Apr 14 Bolívar vs San Anton… 1-0
Mar 31 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 4-2
Mar 10 Bolívar vs The Stron… 2-1
Feb 25 Bolívar vs The Stron… 4-4
Feb 22 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 0-2
Feb 17 Bolívar vs The Stron… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nacional Potosí struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 21, 2023 Bolívar 4 - 3 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Apr 30, 2023 Nacional Potosí 3 - 2 Bolívar Primera Divisi…
Oct 15, 2022 Bolívar 3 - 1 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Aug 07, 2022 Nacional Potosí 2 - 1 Bolívar Primera Divisi…
Oct 28, 2021 Bolívar 4 - 2 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nacional Potosí to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nacional Potosí Power 0
Bolívar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.