AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Oct 15, 2022

Bolívar

Home
VS
21:15

Nacional Potosí

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Bolívar Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Nacional Potosí Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.28 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolívar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Nacional Potosí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Bolívar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 0-0
Aug 07 Bolívar vs Nacional … 2-1
Jul 16 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 1-4
Apr 23 Bolívar vs Oriente P… 3-1
Oct 28 Bolívar vs Nacional … 4-2
Nacional Potosí Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-1
Sep 01 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 2-1
Aug 28 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 4-0
Aug 07 Nacional … vs Bolívar 2-1
Jul 10 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-5
May 21 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 4-2
May 12 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-1
May 07 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 1-0
Mar 13 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 5-0
Nov 23 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolívar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 07, 2022 Nacional Potosí 2 - 1 Bolívar Primera Divisi…
Oct 28, 2021 Bolívar 4 - 2 Nacional Potosí Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolívar to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bolívar Power 0
Nacional Potosí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.