Primeira Liga · Dec 29, 2024 20:30
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Benfica
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (21%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sporting CP Form
DWLLW
STABLE
Benfica Form
WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS27%
Under 2.579%
Sporting CP Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Benfica Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Sporting CPvs
0.54
BenficaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sporting CP+1
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 80% 51 pts
WR 70% 46 pts
Sporting CP
10.0%
| Dec 22 | Sportin… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
| Dec 18 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Sportin… v Cercle … | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Sportin… v Amarante | 6-0 |
| Nov 01 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 5-1 |
| Oct 29 | Sportin… v Nacional | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Sportin… v AVS | 3-0 |
| Sep 13 | Sportin… v Arouca | 0-3 |
Benfica
18.0%
| Dec 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Dec 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Dec 19 | Benfica v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | Benfica v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Benfica v AVS | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Benfica v Guimara… | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Benfica v Arouca | 0-2 |
| Dec 01 | Benfica v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Benfica v Estrela… | 7-0 |
| Nov 10 | Benfica v FC Porto | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 06, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Benfica | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Benfica | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-2 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.