Primeira Liga · Apr 06, 2024 19:30
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Benfica
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sporting CP Form
DWLWD
STABLE
Benfica Form
DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS27%
Under 2.571%
Sporting CP Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Benfica Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sporting CPvs
0.43
BenficaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sporting CP+1
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 80% 51 pts
WR 70% 46 pts
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Apr 02 | Sportin… v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Sportin… v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Sportin… v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Mar 06 | Sportin… v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Feb 29 | Sportin… v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportin… v Rio Ave… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Sportin… v BSC You… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v BSC You… | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sportin… v União d… | 0-3 |
Benfica
16.0%
| Apr 02 | Benfica v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Apr 01 | Benfica v Académi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Benfica v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Benfica v Casa Pi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Benfica v Casa Pi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Rangers… | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Benfica v Rangers… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Benfica v FC Porto | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 02, 2024 | Benfica | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Benfica | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-2 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.