Primeira Liga · Nov 12, 2023 20:30
Benfica
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Sporting CP
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (29%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
WWDLW
STABLE
Sporting CP Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS13%
Under 2.587%
Benfica Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Sporting CP Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Benficavs
0.23
Sporting CPDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica-1
Gap#2
Sporting CP
WR 60% 46 pts
WR 80% 51 pts
Benfica
14.0%
| Oct 07 | Benfica v Estoril | 0-1 |
| Sep 29 | Benfica v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Sep 03 | Benfica v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Benfica v MarĂtimo | 0-1 |
| Aug 19 | Benfica v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Aug 09 | Benfica v FC Porto | 2-0 |
| May 27 | Benfica v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| May 21 | Benfica v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| May 06 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 1-0 |
Sporting CP
20.0%
| Nov 05 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 3-2 |
| Oct 08 | Sportin… v Arouca | 2-1 |
| Sep 25 | Sportin… v Rio Ave… | 2-0 |
| Aug 18 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 1-2 |
| Jul 14 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 1-4 |
| May 21 | Sportin… v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Apr 24 | Sportin… v Guimara… | 0-2 |
| Apr 16 | Sportin… v Arouca | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 3-4 |
| Apr 05 | Sportin… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-2 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sporting CP in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.