Primeira Liga · May 21, 2023 19:30
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Benfica
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (25%)
1-0 (22%)
0-1 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sporting CP Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Benfica Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS23%
Under 2.584%
Sporting CP Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Benfica Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Sporting CPvs
0.51
BenficaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sporting CP+1
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 80% 51 pts
WR 70% 46 pts
Sporting CP
16.0%
| Apr 24 | Sportin… v Guimara… | 0-2 |
| Apr 16 | Sportin… v Arouca | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 3-4 |
| Apr 05 | Sportin… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
| Apr 01 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Sportin… v União d… | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Sportin… v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Sportin… v Arouca | 1-2 |
Benfica
12.0%
| May 06 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Benfica v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Apr 02 | Benfica v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Mar 26 | Benfica v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Benfica v Moreire… | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Benfica v Famalic… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Benfica v Académi… | 2-0 |
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.